Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 165.414732 192.428072 223.949003 263.821960 313.453208 373.920398 4.542959e+02
2025-06-08 126.157568 158.371837 200.036826 259.199605 343.322045 462.401289 6.511135e+02
2025-06-15 109.240659 144.522949 193.589194 269.461367 389.077839 580.664641 9.355002e+02
2025-06-22 91.589225 125.372356 174.658099 255.429358 392.424523 632.881747 1.136425e+03
2025-06-29 81.398565 114.831100 165.740422 253.739507 413.668460 720.790779 1.451306e+03
2025-07-06 73.671948 106.643627 158.745818 253.151179 435.840618 817.717569 1.848945e+03
2025-07-13 70.534485 105.013387 161.769658 270.218926 495.945095 1018.618189 2.679872e+03
2025-07-20 68.326076 104.478780 166.372887 290.980568 570.219680 1290.840869 4.049553e+03
2025-07-27 63.900569 99.618695 162.548531 294.271902 606.642501 1485.609948 5.433622e+03
2025-08-03 60.650353 96.373635 161.136220 302.148443 656.765801 1752.050990 7.672462e+03
2025-08-10 56.868108 91.751568 156.462011 301.975901 686.319637 1973.260278 1.024437e+04
2025-08-17 54.083233 88.637278 154.280834 306.977150 732.100851 2289.318403 1.461789e+04
2025-08-24 50.442424 83.919162 148.990776 305.448170 764.565280 2610.465626 2.113952e+04
2025-08-31 46.767902 78.829945 142.418208 299.875651 784.537278 2912.064190 3.026364e+04
2025-09-07 45.007659 77.221878 142.894372 312.296358 870.389364 3662.441183 5.838648e+04
2025-09-14 41.186769 71.182907 133.032089 295.320434 845.700025 3763.554136 7.450246e+04
2025-09-21 38.859782 67.921532 128.909781 293.279672 877.031168 4281.088412 1.265598e+05
2025-09-28 36.856607 65.130610 125.498977 292.569357 914.203040 4921.044481 2.398262e+05
2025-10-05 36.366103 65.394549 129.111305 313.214396 1053.571074 6748.945947 1.081288e+06
2025-10-12 36.080846 66.052127 133.746469 338.431674 1234.313114 9725.241129 2.108172e+07
2025-10-19 34.660639 64.135243 131.865733 342.439532 1314.652249 11927.969799 1.649439e+10
2025-10-26 33.615719 62.943591 131.643626 352.041849 1434.359087 15495.942541 NaN
2025-11-02 32.199853 60.808977 128.762686 351.831337 1499.010444 18621.438517 NaN